Evolutionary Design of a Carbon Dioxide Emission Prediction Model using Genetic Programming

Weather pollution is considered as one of the most important, dangerous problem that affects our life and the society security from the different sides. The global warming problem affecting the atmosphere is related to the carbon dioxide emission (CO2) from the different fossil fuels along with temperature. In this paper, this phenomenon is studied to find a solution for preventing and reducing the poison CO2 gas emerged from affecting the society and reducing the smoke pollution. The developed model consists of four input attributes: the global oil, natural gas, coal, and primary energy consumption and one output the CO2 gas. The stochastic search algorithm Genetic Programming (GP) was used as an effective and robust tool in building the forecasting model. The model data for both training and testing cases were taken from the years of 1982 to 2000 and 2003 to 2010, respectively. According to the results obtained from the different evaluation criteria, it is nearly obvious that the performance of the GP in carbon gas emission estimation was very good and efficient in solving and dealing with the climate pollution problems. Keywords—Fossil fuels; carbon emission; forecasting; genetic programming